UMSSOFT 2007 PROGRAM (Draft, v3.1, 08 June 2007)

(At this stage exact hours and locations of cultural events, diners, etc., are subject to change)

 

26 June 2007

08.00 – 23.00

Arrival of participants

19.00 – 20.30

Icebreaker

 

27 June 2007

PLENARY SESSION: Identifying Problems and Requirements

 

09.00 – 10.00

Moderator: Col. Prof. Boris Bogdanov, Dean, National Security and Defence Faculty, RDSC

Major-General Evgeni Manev, Commandant of the “G.S. Rakovski” Defence and Staff College

Opening Remarks

General Zlatan Stoykov, Chief of the General Staff of the Bulgarian Armed Forces

Welcoming address

HE Simeon Nikolov, Deputy Minister of Defence, Bulgaria

The Challenge of Managing Force Transformation

HE Leonid Polyakov, First Deputy Minister of Defence, Ukraine

The Challenge of Transforming Ukrainian Armed Forces: How Science Could Support Transformation” (title - tbc)

Q &A

10.30 – 11.00

Coffee break

11.00 – 13.00

Moderator: MG (Ret.) Sabi Sabev, former Chief of J3, J5 and Military Representative at NATO HQ

Dr Roger Forder, Dstl – U.K., Chairman of the RTO System Analysis and Studies Panel

Modelling, Analysis and the Senior Decision-Maker

Col. Stanimir Tchernev, Deputy Chief of J5, General Staff of the Bulgarian Armed Forces

Main Challenges in Transforming the Armed Forces

Han de Nijs, Head, Operational Analysis Branch, FCRT Division, Allied Command Transformation

Operational Analysis and M&S Cooperation between NATO and Nations

Q &A

13.00 – 14.30

Lunch break

14.30 – 17.30

Parallel sessions

Track 1: New operational concepts; Decision support to operations planning in a multinational, interagency setting – Challenges and success stories

1A.   Crisis Management Systems, Interagency and Multinational Operations

Moderator & Rapporteur:   Dr. Velizar Shalamanov, IPP-BAS

Assistant Rapporteur:         Yuri Tsenkov, IPP-BAS

  1. Tobias Lehmann, Andreas Karcher, UBW-Germany, “Ontologies and Semantic Web Technologies to support Knowledge Based Transformation and Decision Support”
  2. Col. Prof. Georgi Tornev, “Modelling Support to Battlespace Awareness”
  3. Boyan Mednikarov and Kalin Kalinov, “Functional Analysis of the Maritime Crisis Management System”
  4. James Cooke, Director Battle Command, “US Army Modeling and Simulation efforts: Data standardization and Multilateral Interoperability"
  5. Van Loock R., Mertens K., Mees W., Prof. Hugo Pastijn, RMA-Belgium, “Simulation of a Communication System for Disaster Relief Operations”
  6. Velizar Shalamanov, “'Computer-Aided Dispatch' - Interagency and International Cooperation in Effects-Based Operations”

1B.   Modelling of Social-Economic Systems and Critical Infrastructures

Moderator & Rapporteur:   Prof. Stefan Hadjitodorov,
                                            Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

Assistant Rapporteur:         Nickolay Pavlov, CNSDR-BAS (tbc)

  1. T.A.Taran & Prof. Vladimir Shemayev, “Cognitive Approach to Modelling Reflexive Control in Socio-Economic Systems”
  2. Marko Hofmann, Heiko Hahn, UBW-Germany, “Is it appropriate to use the objective, rational decision-making framework as a foundation for the modelling of social systems?”
  3. Prof. Vyacheslav Kharchenko, “The 3M-Concept for Development of Dependable Infrastructures out of Undependable Components”
  4. Boyan Mednikarov, Nedko Dimitrov, and Kalin Kalinov, “Applying the Systems Approach to the Development of Critical Naval Infrastructure”
  5. Prof. Vyacheslav Kharchenko, Dr. Volodymyr Sklyar, and Dr. Oleg Odaruschenko, “MTT-Infrastructure in Support of the Transformation of the Force Information Infrastructure”
  6. Prof. Volodymyr A. Zaslavskyy, “Type-variety Principle and Optimization of Resource Allocation for Protection of Complex Systems with High Cost of Failure”

1C. CAX

Moderator & Rapporteur: Klaus Niemeyer, NOA – Germany

Assistant Rapporteur: Dr. Zlatogor Minchev, IPP-BAS

  1. Marko A. Hofmann, Bodo Junge, Tobias Lehmann, UBW – Germany, “On simulation-based Wargaming: Comparison of two different methodological approaches”
  2. Col. Doncho Barzev, LTC Orlin Nikolov (J3) and a team from the Joint Training and Simulation Centre of the Bulgarian Armed Forces, “CAX, Joint Training and Transformation Objectives”
  3. Zlatogor Minchev, “Computer environment for constructive CAX”
  4. Georgy Pavlov, Georgy Penchev, “Automated Costing for Crisis Management Exercises”

 

Track 2: Support to defence and force planning, acquisition management, and training – Challenges and success stories

2A. Capabilities-oriented planning

Moderator & Rapporteur:   Todor Tagarev, RDSC – Bulgaria

Assistant Rapporteur:         LTC G. Stankov, RDSC – Bulgaria

  1. Michel Rademaker and Stephan De Spiegeleire, TNO – The Netherlands, “National security strategy development, Not threat but values and capabilities driven” (tbc)
  2. Jan Erik Torp, FFI-Norway, “Analytical Support to Long Term Defence Planning in Norway”
  3. Debbie Blakeney, Defence Research and Development – Canada, “Operational Research Tools supporting the Force Development Process for the Canadian Forces”
  4. Klaus Niemeyer, NOA-Germany “Quantitative capability assessment of security forces”
  5. LTC Gueorgui Stankov, “Risk as a Factor in Decision-Making”

2B.   Decision Support Frameworks and Processes

Moderator & Rapporteur:   Jan Erik Torp, FFI – Norway

Assistant Rapporteur:         Nikolay Tzonkov, RDSC – Bulgaria

  1. Tsvetomir Tsachev, Nikolay Zhivkov, Todor Tagarev, “Formalizing the Optimization Problem in Long Term Capability Planning”
  2. Brian Witherden, NC3A, “NC3A M&S efforts in support of Defence Planning, Capability Management and Exercise Support”
  3. Col. Dobromir Totev, “Implementation of Results-oriented Defence Resource Management in the Bulgarian MoD – Problems and Way Ahead”
  4. Todor Tagarev, Lidia Velkova, Decision-making on Future Force Structure from a Comparative Macro Perspective: Strengths, Limitations, Outputs, and Potential Outcomes
  5. Todor Tagarev and Gueorgui Stankov, “Interactive Simulations in Support of Decision Making on Defence Resource Allocation”
  6. Alexander Dimov, et al., “Using Architectural Models to Identify Opportunities for Improvement of Acquisition Management”

2C. Analytical Support to Force Development and Acquisition

Moderator & Rapporteur:   Brian Witherden, NC3A

Assistant Rapporteur:         Col. Dr. Venelin Georgiev, MOD – Bulgaria

  1. Roger Forder, Dstl – U.K., “Analysis for Force Development”
  2. Col. Dr. Venelin Georgiev, “Managing Risk in Force Development Programs”
  3. Dick Cathers and Robert Murphy, “Transparency in Force Modernization Decisions”
  4. Kate Fowler, Dstl – U.K., “Transforming the Reserves”

19.30 – 21.30

Dinner on behalf of the Chief of the General Staff of the Bulgarian Armed Forces

 

28 June 2007

09.00 – 12.30

Parallel sessions (cont.)

12.30 – 14.00

Lunch break

14.00 – 16.00

Parallel sessions (cont.)

Round-table discussions will be held at the end of each parallel session to draft, discuss and consolidate conclusions that will be presented to the plenary session

16.30 – 18.00

Sightseeing tour of Sofia for interested conference participants and their spouses

19.30 – 22.00

Dinner hosted by the Deputy Minister of Defence

 

29 June 2007             Plenary session: Summary and Way Ahead

9.00 – 10.30

 

Analytical Support Challenges

Moderator: Ambassador Valeri Ratchev, former Dean of the National Security and Defence Faculty (tbc)

Rapporteurs from the six sessions in the parallel tracks summarize identified decision support needs, capacities, and gaps, key implementation challenges and priority research areas

 

Discussion: Towards a common “knowledge infrastructure” of related concepts, methodologies, methods, and tools

10.30 – 11.00

Coffee Break

11.00 – 12.30

Good Practices and Way Ahead

Moderator: Roger Forder, Dstl – U.K.

How to promote the implementation of objective, rational decision-making frameworks, in particular in new NATO members and partner countries?

Role of the analytical and M&S community. Organization and useful practices in NATO, CAN, GER, NLD, NOR, UK, etc.

Discussion: How to organize decision support; funding; cooperation opportunities

12.30 – 13.00

Closing Session

 

HE Sonya Yankulova, Deputy Minister of Defence, Bulgaria

Closing Remarks

 

Major-General Evgeni Manev, Commandant of the “G.S. Rakovski” Defence and Staff College

Closing of the UMSSOFT 2007 Conference

13.00 – 14.00

Lunch break

14.30 – 22.30

Country trip to for conference participants and their spouses; includes dinner hosted by Major General Evgeni Manev, Commandant of the “G.S. Rakovski” Defence and Staff College